Tag: management

  • Australia and the Dutch Disease

    Australia and the Dutch Disease

    This week sees the launch of the annual G’Day USA festival where Australian exporters and various celebrities extol the virues of the country across the United States.

    One of Australia’s success stories of the last decade has been Yellowtail Wines which carved a niche for Australian wines in the US in the same way Jacob’s Creek did a decade earlier in the UK.

    Today the Australian Financial Review reports that Cassella Wines, the maker of Yellowtail, is in breach of its banking covenants due to the high Australian dollar.

    Cassella Wines is another victim of Australia’s Dutch Disease infection.

    Dutch Disease owes its name to the Netherlands’ gas boom of the 1960s. By the early 1970s the strong Guilder damaged the rest of the Dutch economy which didn’t profit from extracting natural gas.

    Having sleepwalked into the Dutch Disease, it’s fascinating how Australia’s electorate, policy makers and business leaders are in denial about the effects as successful exporters like Cassella Wines struggle with a high dollar and accelerating costs.

    When commodity prices and the dollar turn, and they always do, its going to be tough for the economy to adapt as much of the industry capacity that was competitive at lower rates won’t be available to take advantage of the lower costs and to pick up the slack from a declining mining sector.

    For Australian businesses, the onus is on managers and proprietors to protect their organisations from the short term effects of a high currency and the medium term effect of a falling dollar pushing up the input prices of imports.

    In other words, getting costs down without becoming too reliant on offshored labour or suppliers. The companies that manage this are going to be very strong after the initial adjustment, but it’s a tough management task.

    While that task can, and will be, done by smart and hardworking leaders no-one should expect any recognition of the scale of this task from governments, media or business organisations who seem to be in denial of reality.

    The Dutch and Australian flags image is courtesy of Emilev through SXC

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  • Saving Hewlett Packard

    Saving Hewlett Packard

    This site has previously looked at the massive task facing Meg Whitman as she tries to rebuild Hewlett Packard and undo the mis-steps of the company’s previous managerial failures.

    Bloomberg Businessweek goes further with a deep analysis of what went wrong for HP over the last two and Whitman’s challenges in rebuilding the business.

    HP’s decline starts with the biggest mis-step of Carly Fiorina, one of Whitman’s predecessors, in selling off HPs instrumentation business in 1999.

    Power in the instruments

    Industrial instruments were the core of HPs business, generations of engineers and scientists knew and trusted the HP brand which was synonymous with high quality, cutting edge technology.

    The proof of the instrument arm’s strength is in the subsequent share performance of the spun off company – today Agilent trades at $43 while HP wallows at $15, half of what it was worth in 1999.

    Making matters worse for HP was buying into the personal computer industry just as Dell and Gateway were commodifying the market. Fiorina’s high spending ways left Hewlett Packard incapable of competing against the lean operations of their nimbler competitors.

    In many respects Fiorina’s successor Mark Hurd is the IT sales guy from central casting; aggressive, an excellent eye for numbers, intolerant of (other peoples’) wasteful spending and an ego the size of Uranus.

    For HP he had some good points, making executives directly responsible for their division’s performance and cutting out management consultants. Anyone who shows Bain & Co or McKinsey’s the door, is not a wholly bad guy.

    Cutting costs in the driver business

    In cutting costs Hurd was ruthless – the Bloomberg story tells of how he cut HP’s driver division from over 700 to 64 staff. This in itself was not a bad thing.

    Those who worked on HP products remember that period well. The software that came with Hewlett Packard equipment was buggy and overblown and Hurd’s reforms bought in a real improvement as drivers went back to being simple and effective.

    Cost measures though also showed in HPs products and after sales support – increasingly the company resembled Dell during the dark days of Dell Hell where buyers of shoddy equipment found themselves dealing with poorly trained support desks over low quality phone lines. Customers started to flee HP products.

    The perils of stack ranking

    At the same time Hurd was using the crudest management technique of all – stack ranking, the practice of culling the bottom ten percent of workers each year.

    Vanity Fair’s 2012 expose of Microsoft’s decline infamously blamed stack ranking for much of that company’s woes. The problem being that defining the bottom 10% of a team invariably involves politics and staff become more obsessed with currying favour with their managers than shipping good products.

    People like Steve Ballmer and Mark Hurd like stack ranking because they thrive in that environment. The paradox is that characters like Steve Jobs, Bill Gates and Mark Zuckerberg tend to be culled.

    HP, and Microsoft, needed more geeks focused on shipping new products than political animals like Hurd and Ballmer but that’s not what they got.

    While Hurd met his financial targets, HP’s position was becoming more fragile as cranking up margins on services and printer cartridges while slashing costs on PCs and hardware can only go so far. His implosion over his royal lifestyle was probably one of the best timed exits in corporate history.

    It’s worth reflecting on Hurd’s management excesses as he slashed expenses for the lesser beings in his company, you can browse a list of his expenses at The Street. In this respect alone, Hurd personified the entitled managerial culture of modern western society.

    Replacing Hurd with the quiet Leo Apotheker made sense in that the new CEO was the opposite to his predecessor, but just as he didn’t have Hurd’s ego he was also a dud who made strategic mistakes and let costs begin to slip.

    In replacing Apotheker Meg Whitman has massive job ahead of her, an important part of getting HP on track is slimming down management ranks to make the company more nimble. That in itself is a big task.

    The biggest task of all though is to recapture HPs position as being an innovative leader with high quality products. Over the Fiorina and Hurd years that position was squandered and replaced by companies like Cisco and Apple.

    Right now it’s hard to see where HP can re-establish itself in the marketplace but the goodwill towards the company from a generation of engineers who were bought up believing Hewlett Packard means quality means the company has a chance.

    Hopefully Meg Whitman is the right person to seize those chances and undo fifteen years of bad management.

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  • Privacy is not someone else’s problem

    Privacy is not someone else’s problem

    Early this year a storm broke out about privacy in the United States when a computer rental company was caught spying on its customers.

    Technology website Ars Technica has an excellent story describing what the company was doing and the software they were using.

    What the story of PC Rental agent shows is that even small businesses have the tools to run serious surveillance on their customers and some will do so simply because they can.

    The days when privacy could be dismissed as the concern for a few sensitive celebrities, sports people and politicians with something to hide are over – privacy is now your problem.

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  • Are executives taking privacy seriously?

    Are executives taking privacy seriously?

    In an article for Business Spectator on Lord Justice Leveson’s Sydney speech last week, I looked at the commercial aspects of privacy, an area that was overlooked in the reporting of the two Australian lectures by the British jurist.

    Privacy is a serious issue which is also being overlooked by boardrooms, possibly because it’s often conflated with IT security and so it’s seen as a technology problem and, to be honest, executives see it as being a bit ‘soft’ and airy-fairy.

    Sony’s humiliations in 2011 with a series of embarrassing privacy breaches that left the company’s reputation in tatters show the real and embarrassing risks in not taking privacy seriously.

    The UK prank phone call scandal is another example of poor privacy policies which have real world impacts on both the hospital’s patients and staff, whether the management there is held to account or even learns any lessons remains to be seen.

    In California, the US state with the strongest privacy laws, Delta Airlines is being sued over its smartphone app’s policies however the state itself isn’t immune from serious breaches.

    Giving away social security numbers opens up all sort of identity theft opportunities although any privacy breach exposes the victims to potentially serious consequences, some of that pain is going to be passed onto those who give the information away.

    The worry for businesses is that in the absence of serious action by governments and the private sector, the evolution of privacy law is going to take place in the courts with unpredictable and inconsistent results.

    As we now have the tools to gather, store and process huge amounts of data about our customers and staff, we also have an obligation to protect it. This is something managements need to understand and take seriously.

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  • Blind faith in the algorithm

    Blind faith in the algorithm

    It’s fairly safe to say Apple’s ditching of Google Maps for their own navigation system has proved not to be company’s smartest move.

    The humiliation of Apple was complete when the Victoria Police issued a warning against using the iPhone map application after people became lost in the desert when following faulty directions to the town of Mildura.

    Mapping is a complex task and it’s not surpising these mistakes happen, particular given the dynamic nature of road conditions and closures. It’s why GPS and mapping systems incorporate millions of hours of input into the databases underlying these services.

    Glitches with GPS navigations and mapping applications aren’t new. Some of the most notorious glitches have been in the UK where huge trucks have been directed down small country lanes only to find themselves stuck in medieval villages far from their intended location.

    While those mishaps make for good reading, there are real risks in these misdirections. One of the best publicised tragedies of mis-reading maps was the death of James Kim in 2007.

    Kim, a well known US tech journalist, was driving with his family from Portland, Oregan to a hotel on the Pacific Coast in November 2006 when they tried to take a short cut across the mountains.

    After several hours driving the family became lost and stuck in snowdrifts and James died while hiking out to find help. His wife and two children were rescued after a week in the wilderness.

    Remarkably, despite warnings of the risks, people still get stuck on that road. The local newspaper describes it the annual ritual as find a tourist in the snow season.

    Partly this irresponsibility is due to our modern inability to assess risk, but a more deeper problem is blind faith in technology and the algorithms that decide was is good and bad.

    A blind faith in algorithms is a risk to businesses as well – Facebook shuts down accounts that might be showing nipples, Google locks people out of their Places accounts while PayPal freeze tens of thousands of dollars of merchants’ funds. All of these because their computers say there is a problem.

    Far more sinister is the use of computer algorithms to determine who is a potential terrorist, as many people who’ve inadvertently found themselves on the US government’s No Fly List have discovered.

    As massive volumes of information is being gathered on individuals and businesses it’s tempting for all of us to rely on computer programs to tell us what is relevant and to join the dots between various data points.

    While the computers often right, it is sometimes wrong as well and that’s why proper supervision and understanding of what the system is telling people is essential.

    If we blindly accept what the computer tells us, we risk being stuck in our own deserts or a snowdrift as a result.

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