Tag: retail

  • Bernie Brookes’ Blues – the inability of managers to learn from failure

    Bernie Brookes’ Blues – the inability of managers to learn from failure

    One of the notable aspects of modern corporations is the inability of executives to identify failure.

    A good example of this is the Australian department store industry. Like most Aussie industries it’s dominated by two major players, Myer and David Jones,  both of whom have struggled with the realities of modern retailing.

    David Jones is notable for deciding the web was too much hard work in 2001 while Myer’s management whines about sales taxes despite struggling with antiquated point of sales systems and an inadequate online presence that still lags its international competitors.

    This week illustrates both companies’ state of executive denial, yesterday Myer’s CEO Bernie Brookes blamed falling profits and escalating costs on the GST and labour rates – the idea that management should take some of the blame for increased overheads didn’t seem to occur to Bernie.

    One telling comment of Brookes’ are his comments about productivity and global competitiveness.

    “The sector would benefit from reform to help drive productivity and become more competitive in an increasingly global marketplace,” said Brookes.

    Brookes’ comment illustrates just how the Australian corporate sector has flubbed the transition to operating in a high cost economy.

    At the same time Bernie Brooks was bemoaning the state of the world, David Jones CEO Paul Zahra was opening a new small format store and – like all champions of free enterprise – blamed the government for slow sales.

    David Jones’ new store is interesting in itself, notably this comment in the Sydney Morning Herald story;

    Mr Zahra said the store had been especially catered to the wealthy demographics of the Malvern area with a focus on high margin items.

    “Higher margin categories are what we have focused on and low margin categories are available in store but in the online system so we can get it shipped directly to people’s homes.

    “And we get a better gross profit per square metre as a result.”

    Welcome to the Twenty-First Century, Mr Zahra.

    Both Zahra and Brookes’ statements show they learn nothing from failure, indeed they don’t even seem to acknowledge they have failed.

    It’s understandable in modern corporate life not to acknowledge failure, in the alpha-male environment of the executive suite admitting failure is a form of professional suicide.

    However not learning from mistakes is a recipe for making more errors – “those who fail to learn from history are condemned to repeat it.”

    And that’s exactly what the hapless Myer and David Jones shareholders are condemned to, as are all the other businesses whose management doesn’t see its failures.

    Similar posts:

    • No Related Posts
  • Downward trends and demographics mark the end of consumerism

    Downward trends and demographics mark the end of consumerism

    One of the features of the late Twentieth Century economy was how consumer spending came to dominate the economy – as manufacturing moved offshore, mines closed down and agriculture became largely automated, many developed nations’ growth came from retail spending.

    Today’s release of retail spending figures by the Australian Bureau of statistics shows how that economic model too has come to an end. A post on the Macrobusiness blog illustrates the steady, structural decline of retail spending in Australia.

    ScreenHunter_10 Aug. 05 11.36

    Since 2000, the rate of growth has been declining, only low interest rate policies over the last two years has kept retail sales at a steady level.

    Those businesses whose business models are built on the assumption of high growth rates have a big problem – its no coincidence it’s the department and clothing stores are among the loudest complainers about taxes, labour costs and rents as they see their sales and profits shrinking.

    Basically the Twentieth Century era of consumption has come to an end as households have maxed out their credit cards. Now that many of those households are now older, they simply don’t need to spend as much anyway.

    With the demographic, economic and cultural changes now happening in society it’s a bad time to be planning on massive expansions in household spending and debt as we say in most western countries from the 1960s onward.

    It’s time to think different, and be a lot smarter about getting consumers to buy your products. The era of the 72-month interest free deal is over.

    Similar posts:

  • Staging a sales blitzkreig to win the market battle

    Staging a sales blitzkreig to win the market battle

    Part of the Silicon Valley greater fool model requires ramping whatever metrics are necessary — page views, unique visitors, revenue or profit to attract prospective buyers to acquire the business.

    Elizabeth Knight in the Sydney Morning Herald looks at the cracks appearing in online retailer The Iconic where revenues of thirty million dollars were subsidised by forty-four million in losses in the e-commerce operator’s first year of trading.

    The Iconic has all the hallmarks of a classic ‘buy me’ Silicon Valley operation — big marketing spend, high customer acquisition costs and fat operating losses in an effort to build market share.

    Getting market share is one of the key aspects of the greater fool model, being the leader in a segment almost guarantees a buyer, usually the one of the shellshocked incumbents.

    Knight quotes emails from one of The Iconic’s founders, Oliver Samwar, on the importance of being number one in their sector.

    ‘‘The only thing is that the time of the Blitzkrieg must be chosen wisely so that each country tells me with blood when it is time. I am ready – anytime!’’ one said.

    ‘‘We must be number one latest in the last month of next season. Full month, not a discount sales month

    ‘‘Why? Because only number one can raise unbelievable money at unbelievable valuations. I cannot raise money for number 2 etc and I have seen it how easy (sic) it is for me in Brazil and how difficult in Russia because our team f….d up.’’

    As we’ve seen with companies like Groupon, being number one can impress gullible corporations but when that market position has been bought by investor’s money subsidising operations, the business is rarely sustainable.

    Whether investors are prepared to continue subsidising The Iconic’s losses or if the business can attract a buyer will depend upon the business maintaining momentum on its key metrics.

    Probably the most important thing for companies like The Iconic though is the availability of easy credit and accessible funds.

    As we saw in the original dot com boom, when that easy money evaporates so to do most of the businesses.

    For the incumbent businesses threatened by well funded upstarts, some might find the best hope for survival is to hope challengers run out of money.

    In the meantime though, they may have to survive a market blitzkrieg.

    Similar posts:

  • Are Australians becoming apathetic towards retail?

    Are Australians becoming apathetic towards retail?

    This morning IBM launched their Retail Therapy report where they looked at the state of online shopping around the world.

    One interesting aspect to the report is that Australians seem to have become indifferent to stores with 60% of the 2000 respondents claiming they were ‘apathetic’ towards their choice of retailers.

    At least this is an improvement on the 2011 report where 46% of those survey said they were ‘antagonistic’, this year that proportion is a mere 5%.

    So, have we gone from hating our retailers to simply not caring any more? The answers should be focusing the minds of Australian CEOs if they are hoping for consumers to reopen their wallets.

    Image of a bored girl by ChristieM through sxc.hu

    Similar posts:

  • Taxing the internet

    Taxing the internet

    One of the competitive advantages for online shopping has been the difficulty in levying taxes on internet transactions.

    This has been particularly true in the United States where individual states, counties and cities have different sales taxes, meaning a consumer in Birmingham, Alabama might pay 10% more than their friends in Billings, Montana.

    Amazon in particular has been aggressive in exploiting these price differentials, right down to threatening states where ‘Amazon taxes’ has been proposed.

    Now the US Congress looks set to pass a law which would make online sellers responsible for buyers’ state sales tax obligations.

    The next stage will be treaties between countries on the collection of sales or value added taxes.

    For many retailers though this won’t be particularly good news as price differentials are more than just the 10% GST or VAT and online shopping sites compete as much on product range and customers service.

    What the US Congress’ bill really shows is how online retailing is maturing – rather than thinking of companies like Amazon, eBay or niche operators like Shoes Of Prey as being disrupters they are the new normal.

    Similar posts: