Category: business advice

Overselling technology

Do technologists promise too much?

“We’d like to allow remote band members – say a violinist in the Australian outback – be able to participate in an orchestra as if they were there. We hope the NBN will be able to do this.”

When the band organiser said this at a business roundtable all the technologists, myself included, choked.

There are many things the Australian National Broadband Network will deliver but the ability to teleport a violinist from the outback to downtown Sydney or Melbourne isn’t one of them.

One of the problems with technology is we tend to oversell the immediate effects; as Bill Gates famously said “The impact of all new technologies is overestimated in the short term but under estimated in the long term.”

Because we tend to sell the immediate sizzle, customers are disappointed when our promises don’t eventuate. In the decade it takes to win them back, those initial benefits we didn’t deliver in six months have become commonplace.

This is probably one of the reasons why businesses are reluctant to invest in new technology or online services; they’ve heard the promises before and they don’t trust what they can hear.

In the late 1990s businesses spent tens of thousands – sometimes millions – establishing websites that didn’t work. Those financial scars still hurt when they hear talk, some of them are still paying off those sites. So it’s barely surprising they are reluctant to return to a sector that has now matured.

Perhaps it’s best to underpromise; instead of cloud computer vendors committing themselves to 80% savings and social media experts promising millions of customers from their new viral video, it may be better to be more realistic with the expectations.

Customers have become deaf to wonderful promises, they are expecting us to deliver. Promising the world is no longer a business strategy.

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Does small business need government support?

Can governments provide business assistance?

The New South Wales State Government’s decision to axe their long standing small business programs raises the question of whether small businesses need government support at all.

Last week’s announcement the NSW Government are abandoning their business education programs and replacing them with a previously announced network of local business advisors shows where small business lies in the state’s list of priorities.

Taken at face value, the changes appear to be moving back to the face-to-face business advice model of a decade or so ago that was common before the winding back of small business programs and local enterprise centres by then Federal Liberal and state Labor governments under John Howard and Bob Carr.

On closer examination, it’s a cut to business support and an effective withdrawal of NSW government assistance to small business. The remaining services will be outsourced to the same local business centres that have been starved of funds for over a decade.

A concern with the individual advisors will be how many businesses they can reach, according to the NSW Trade & Investment annual report 2010-11 the axed events had an audience numbering over 5,000. It’s difficult to see how the advisor network will match that and makes one wonder how the more important events couldn’t have been streamed or podcast across the Internet.

Putting aside the pros and cons of this restructure, the bigger question is should small business expect any government support at all?

The record of Australian government support for industry is not good. We only have to look at repeated visits to the trough by what remains of the Australian car making industry, the bipartisan debacle of assistance to the renewal energy sector or the support given by the Keating Labor government to Kodak to see how well schemes have worked out.

Most of Australia’s economic success stories have happened despite, not because of, government’s pouring money into industries. For example, the first five years of the current mining boom was completely missed by the political classes along with the Canberra press gallery and the media economic commentators.

This is where small business steps in – rather than relying on access to the ministerial suite to protect their industries, the little guys and the startups compete on price, service and innovation. Aspects that organisations in protected industries or those dependent on taxpayer largess struggle with.

Indeed many small business owners and entrepreneurs struck out on their own because they felt stifled by bureaucracy. So offering them programs wrapped up in paperwork is counter intuitive.

Where the government can help is with keeping busy business owners up to date with new developments in business, markets and technology which was exactly what the events programs like Small Business September and Micro Business Week did.

It’s difficult to see how the individual business advisors employed by local Business Enterprise Centres will keep up with their clients up with changes regardless of how skilled or well intentioned they are.

All of the changes are justified by the report from the Small Business Commissioner’s listening tour. Apparently she was told businesses didn’t want events like Small Business Septtember

I certainly didn’t hear any complaints at the breakfast fourm I attended at the Northern Beaches, most of the concerns seemed to be from cafe owners arguing about council outdoor seating permits. If the commish wants to get involved with that nest of vipers, I wish her the best of luck.

Overall, small business can’t expect much from government; particularly in the modern corporatist society where Big Government does Big Deal with Big Unions and Big Business while Big Media selectively reports what suits it.

Probably the best thing for small business is stay nimble and avoid being stepped on the Big Dinosaurs as they dance obliviously to the major changes that are happening in the world around us.

Big dinosaurs look after their own, don’t expect them to give you anything except a big shower of dung.

Disclaimer: I’ve been hired by Trade & Investment to host various events on the now axed programs and worked for 19 months at what was then the Department of State and Regional Development. I wish all of those former colleagues who now find their positions abolished the best of luck in finding another role.

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Channel blues

Cloud computing is changing the IT industry

“We do the pre-sales work then they come along and steal the customers. It’s wrong, just wrong” growled the sales manager of an IT integrator while talking about one of the leading cloud computing services.

The business model of systems integrators is to be a company’s, or home’s, trusted advisor on IT and make money from charging for their services and the profit in selling software and equipment.

In the last few years that model has become tough – the collapsing price of hardware has made the profits on selling systems leaner while the increased life of systems has meant the big lucrative upgrades have become scarcer.

At the same time services have become less lucrative as more participants have entered the market, many using offshored cheap labour to provide remote support. It hasn’t helped that computers have become vastly more reliable, particularly since Microsoft have largely solved Windows’ gaping security holes.

The icing on the cake has been the end of boxed software and corporate licenses. These were extremely profitable for the systems integrator – a big sale of Microsoft Office or Oracle licenses to a government department could see an IT salesperson pay for a holiday home or cover the kids’ school and college fees.

Cloud computing has largely been the driver of all of these factors’ decline and now it is really hurting those integrators and their salesfolk who were used to a very profitable existence.

While that’s good news for computer consumers – and even better news for hapless shareholder and taxpayers who’ve been largely dudded by big IT sales pitches to gullible directors and ministers – it does beg the question of how customers now get advice and support.

Largely cloud based services rely upon customer self service and many of the providers would struggle to include user support in their list of core competencies.

There’s a business model there for systems integrators, but it’s difficult to see how many those used to fat profits in the past can, or will, adapt to the new environment.

An interesting side effect of this change is how it affects companies like Microsoft where their channel partners – largely those big and small systems integrators – are one of the most important distribution networks for their products and probably their best defense against competitors like Google and Apple. That strength is being steadily eroded.

It’s tempting to think that change affects just “old” industries like retail, publishing or car manufacturing; in reality it affects all sectors and sometimes the most modern might be hurt more than the established players.

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The allure of free data

It’s user generated, but is it worthwhile.

It looks like a nice business model, you get users to generate your content for you. Many of the new digital media empires like YouTube, Facebook and Foursquare are built upon it.

The Register’s Simon Sharwood looked at the downside of this business model – junk data.

Even the most well intentioned users makes mistakes with thing like addresses and that’s before you get mischief makers or competitors putting in false information.

There’s another aspect too, what one person thinks is relevant may not be to other users or to the people running the service, Simon cites the dozens of “mom’s kitchens” on Foursquare.

For those who’ve added their mom’s house, that’s relevant and maybe even funny to them.

All of this illustrates the downside to the free, User Generated Content (UGC) model; you have to accept what the users give you.

Which means it isn’t free – it has to be collated, processed and the noise has to be filtered out.

At worst, somebody has to make the decision what is relevant and what has to go. This isn’t easy and, as Google found with their Name Wars, can upset a lot of users if it isn’t handled well.

Nothing in life is truly free and with data becoming increasingly important to business it’s worthwhile considering the quality of that free or cheap stuff you get from the net.

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Investing in the future

Investment is not a cost

UK supermarket chain Tesco announced it intends to create 20,ooo new job over the next two years through “significant investment in customer service, refreshing existing stores and opening new ones”.

That word – investment – is the key to business growth. Not whining about the internet stealing jobs or begging the government to bail out failed industries and their managements.

Investment is more than just buying a shiny new machine, it’s also research, development, training and educating a business’ management, staff, suppliers and customers.

Too many businesses and governments are locked into the the 1980s mindset that investments, along with things like customer service, are a cost that that has to be driven down.

Driving down costs was profitable for many managers through the 1990s and early 2000s, in fact we could argue this was one of the big drivers of corporate profits and productivity through that period.

While some of those costs were undoubtedly unnecessary and deserved, it’s now clear that many governments and businesses ran down investment as well.

Today we’re seeing the results of that; crumbling infrastructure, skills shortages and businesses that can’t compete in a changing global economy.

What we invest in our businesses – be it time or money is essential to its long term success. Only the biggest companies in the most protected industries can survive for a while without investment.

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Reinventing point of sale

Cloud and mobile devices are changing retail systems.

One of the banes of running a business computer support organisation were cash registers.

Retail Point Of Sale (POS) systems were almost always arcane, clunky and difficult to maintain, at PC Rescue we dreaded a call from a shop, pub or hairdresser having problems with their registers.

Frequently this was by design, the POS system supplier would try to lock in their business customers into expensive support contracts.

By making it difficult for anybody without intimate knowledge of the product to actually do anything with it, the retailer was stuck having to hire overpriced custom support.

To make things worse, many of the POS systems ran on outdated hardware which offered the suppliers another opportunity to hit their customers (victims?) with high support costs.

Since the iPad was released, I’ve been waiting for an application using cloud services for a back end that challenges the existing Point of Sale systems and today US online payments system Square has announced their Square Register app.

While only available in the US, Square has been setting the pace for physical payment systems like taxi fares and coffees using online technologies so it’s hardly surprising they are leading this push.

The iPad as a cash register is a logical step for the device and tied in with a robust Point Of Sales platform behind a simple to use app, it will probably make a huge dent in the point of sale market.

It may be the Square service won’t be the point of sale leader – Square is more a payments service than retail platform – which means this field is way open for some savvy operators.

One of the concerns with the Square service, and any iPad based application, is the spectre of vendor lock-in. Being fixed on the iOS platform means there is a risk of being held hostage to Apple’s business plans, also being locked into Square’s payment systems may not be the best choice for many merchants.

The payments and point of sale industry is another that’s being radically changed by mobile devices coupled with cloud computing. It’s not a time for incumbents to rest on their laurels.

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When tails wag dogs

Have essential functions taken over business?

A recent Business Insider examination of how patent “aggregator” Intellectual Ventures works is a good example of one of the problems in modern business – essential ancillary processes have overtaken doing business itself.

Intellectual property rights are an important part of doing business, however what should be an adjunct to doing business has consumed many enterprises.

As the Business Insider article point out, Intellectual Ventures has become some sort of modern day privateer, extracting loot from hapless companies that cross its path.

This problem with intellectual property is part of a larger problem with lawyers, where they have been given too important a role in business.

In any civilised society lawyers are essential and carry out an important role but in western society over the last fifty the scope of the legal system has expanded so dramatically that now the legal tail wags the business dog.

Today company directors, business owners and entrepreneurs live under the shadow of breaching some obscure law that they had no inkling existed. Of course, the lawyers can help with this.

A similar thing has happened in the financial world, accountants have also moved from being an essential adjunct of business into being at the centre of most enterprises.

Much of this explosion in lawyering and accounting has been due to the increased role of government in our lives; each time a new law or regulation is enacted it makes it harder for the average person, or business owner,  to understand the system.

A cynic can argue this is by design but most government actions are intended to address some injustice or flaw in society. The problem is there are always unintended consequences.

One can also argue that the increased growth in business overheads like lawyers, accountants and patent attorneys is because of fat, prosperous business conditions.

So maybe what western business has seen in the last fifty years has been because of a favorable market place; politicians have introduced a morass of often contradictory financial and legal rules because they know business, and society, can afford it.

Now times have changed and both business and society can’t afford unnecessary overheads it will be interesting to see exactly how our laws and regulations evolve to respond.

Maybe they won’t and we’ll see a black economy develop where whole groups of society ignore the rules, dispense with lawyers and accountants and hope for the best. This would not be good.

Possibly we’ll see legislatures and courts winding back and reigning in some of the more silly and egregious excesses as they recognise society can’t carry the burden and remain productive.

Whatever happens we can be sure the lawyers, accountants and people like Intellectual Ventures will fight hard against any change that reduces their status and income.

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