Links of the day – Terrorism, deflation and London’s rebirth

The terrorist murders in Paris lead today’s links of the day.

Today’s links kick off with the worldwide reaction to the terrorist atrocity in Paris. The other links, which pale in contrast, include why we should really fear deflation, the decline and rise of China and how to understand a food critic.

Cartoonists unite over French terrorist murders

After the terrorist atrocity that saw twelve people murdered in an attack on a magazine office in Paris, cartoonists around the world have shown their reaction.

Why Europeans should fear deflation

Yesterday the main economic news was the Eurozone had re-entered a deflationary period. Irish economist David McWilliams explains why deflation scares governments and banks with some lessons from the Great Depression.

The decline and rise of London

In 1939 London reached its peak population of 8.3 million then saw declines for the next fifty years as war, government policies and economic restructuring saw the city’s attractions wane.

Sometime this week London will pass its 1939 peak and Citymetric magazine looks at the reasons for the decline and why the recovery began.

China’s incredible disappearing former leader

In November 2012 Chinese leader Hu Jintao stepped down from his post. Since then he’s effectively disappeared from public view Foreign Policy magazine reports.

At the same time many of his allies and supporters have been purged from their party positions as part of a major change in direction for the Chinese government. What this means for the parties’ cronies who’ve been propping up property prices across the Pacific and Macau’s lucrative casino business remains to be seen.

What restaurants should know about food critics

First impressions matter warns former restaurant critic for the New York Times and Los Angeles Times, Ruth Reichl, in a terrific interview with Open For Business.

Reichl’s advice is good for pretty well any business; make sure your first impressions are good, don’t rip off your customers or be too pushy with upselling and train your staff. It’s an entertaining insight into a field dominated by egos that’s largely becoming extinct.

Google expands its campus program

Google expands its Campus program to new cities

One of the reasons for the success of London’s Silicon Roundabout neighbourhood was the Google Campus that provided a drop in centre and community venue for the growing tech hub.

It turns out the success of London’s Google Campus can be replicated, as shown by the Tel Aviv outpost having similar results.

As a consequence Google are now opening new campuses in Warsaw, São Paulo, Seoul and Madrid.

Whether these cities will have the same success as London and Tel Aviv, both had a thriving tech start up community before their Google Campuses opened, remains to be soon.

One thing is for sure, we’ll see other cities’ governments and tech communities lobbying Google to base a Campus in their tech neighbourhood. It may be worthwhile they have a look at the London one to see what works and how they can set their own local hub.

Knocking at Silicon Valley’s door

Chasing the Silicon Valley model may be a mistake for cities trying to become modern industrial hubs

In opening Salesforce’s new London office yesterday, former BT CEO Lord Livingston described the city as “knocking at the door of Silicon Valley.”

Judging from the Computing UK article that description hasn’t impressed the rest of the British tech community as it confirms in their minds there is, as usual, too much focus on the capital and Livingston’s view also raises the question of whether London really wants to be another Silicon Valley.

Like all global industrial hubs Silicon Valley the result of a series of happy coincidences; massive defense spending, determined educators, clever inventors and savvy entrepreneurs all finding themselves in the same place at the same time.

Trying to replicate the factors that turned the region into the late Twentieth Century’s centre of technology is almost impossible – even the United States couldn’t afford the massive defense spending over the fifty years from 1941 that underpinned the Valley’s development.

Apart from the spending; the culture, economy, geography, markets and workforce of Silicon Valley are very different to that of London’s.

This not to say London doesn’t have advantages over Silicon Valley; access to Europe and relatively easy immigration policies make Britain a very attractive location for tech businesses. If the local startup community can tap The City’s banking resources then London could well be the next global hub.

If London is the next global tech centre – history will tell – it will almost certainly be very different to Silicon Valley.

Strangely, the event Lord Livingston was speaking at reflects how the Californian tech sector is evolving; Salesforce is a San Francisco company and represents a shift in the last five years from the suburbia of San Jose and Palo Alto to the quirky city life of SoMa and the Tenderloin.

At the same time Silicon Valley itself is evolving into something different, just as it did in the 1990s with the switch from microprocessor manufacturing to software development.

That shift illustrates the risks of trying to imitate one industrial hub; by the time you’ve build your replica, the original has moved on.

If you spent your life trying to knock on the door of heroes you want to imitate, it would be shame to finally make it only to find they’ve moved.

Touring the Barcelona smart city project

A slideshow on how Barcelona is using the Internet of Things to build a smartcity.

Last year I posted the Geek’s Tour of Barcelona, looking at the town’s smartcity initiatives after visiting the city for Cisco’s Internet of Things World Forum.

At the Australian Internet of Things Forum in Newcastle last month I cobbled together a quick presentation around the topic to illustrate what smartcities can deliver.

This was particularly topical for Newcastle as the New Lunaticks and the local business community are supporting the Kaooma project run by Vimoc Technologies in one of the city’s entertainment districts.

Kaooma – which is an entrant in Cisco’s IoT Innovation Grand Challenge – is particularly interesting because it’s a wholly private project with little, if any, formal government support as opposed to London’s Regent Street Internet of Things initiative that’s part of a billion pound regeneration of the precinct.

Australia’s Newcastle, the world’s largest coal port, has a number of challenges itself as the country’s once in a century mining boom unwinds and city deals with a neglected downtown in the face of a rapidly changing economy.

While the Barcelona project is in early days, the presentation shows how cities are using the Internet of Things today and gives us some hints on how those uses will evolve over time.

Paul travelled to Barcelona as a guest of Cisco Systems

David Cameron and the Internet of Things

Britain’s Prime Minister backs the nation’s move into the Internet of Things

Last year I interviewed the CEO of London and Partners, Gordon Innes, on how Britain’s capital is making a bid to become Europe’s Silicon Valley.

At the opening of CeBIT last night, UK Prime Minister David Cameron increased the country’s bid with a plan on building Britain’s capability in the digital industries.

Cameron portrayed the moves as being a partnership with Germany. This may be partly because he was being gracious towards his host and also because the Brits might not see Germany as being a competitor in these fields.

The fields that Cameron highlighted are deploying 5G networks, more efficient use of spectrum and increasing research into the Internet of Things.

A research boost is a notable as it may give the Brits a foothold in an area that’s evolving rapidly as the Internet of Things raises a whole range of security, privacy and governance issues.

While there’s still a sniff of Harold Wilson’s 1963 White Heat of Technology speech in the Cameron government’s policies, at least the British government is articulating policies for the 21st Century.

It may well be that Cameron’s digital revolution will be no more successful than Wilson’s technological revolution fifty years ago, but at least it will be a brave attempt.

Measuring an industrial hub’s success

What should measure the success of technology incubators and hubs? London’s Google Campus gives us some clues.What should measure the success of technology incubators and hubs?

A short article appeared on London’s City AM website yesterday discussing the successes of Google’s Campus and the government’s Tech City initiative.

What jumped out of that story is the quote from Benjamin Southworth, the former deputy chief of the Tech City Investment Organistion, that London’s first tech IPO is “probably 18 to 24 months away”

Southworth’s comments raise the question of how do you measure the success of initiatives like Tech City, does a stockmarket float indicate success of business or tech cluster?

The debacle of Australia’s Freelancer float which saw the shares soar over 400% on the first day of trading certainly doesn’t indicate anything promising about the startup scene down under apart from the opportunities for those well connected with insiders on Australian Security Exchange traded stocks.

In London’s case, Google’s Campus gives a far better indicator of what tech hubs and industrial clusters can add to an economy – £34m raised from investors in the 12 months to October 2013, 576 jobs created and 22,000 members of its coworking space.

Google’s statistics raise an interesting point about the different objectives for the stakeholders in incubators and hubs; entrepreneurs want money or glory, investors want returns, corporate backers want intellectual property or marketing kudos, governments want jobs and politicians want photo opportunities with happy constituents.

These different objectives means there are different measures for success and one group’s success might mean bitter disappointment for some of the others.

What the various partners define as success is something anyone involved in an incubator or hub should consider before becoming involved, in that respect it’s like a business or a marriage.

Building great work

Mediocrity is something we have to avoid if we want to do great things.

“You have to understand Paul that we are building a structure designed to last twenty-five years,” sneered the consulting engineer as we sat in a site meeting on a high rise construction site just inside the City of London.

I sighed deeply and let the matter of cladding fire protection water tanks slide and pondered nearby St Paul’s Cathedral, wondering what Christoper Wren would have thought about the mediocre architecture being thrown up around his masterpiece.

The consulting engineer was a suitable person to build mediocre buildings, he and his firm were only on the project by virtue of the property developer being from the same masonic temple and the calibre of their shoddy and visionless work reflected their suitability for the project.

Apart from the pedestrian architecture and engineering, the lack of foresight extended through poor design right through to not allowing enough for future expansion of the building’s communications – by the early 1990s it had already become apparent modern office towers were going to need plenty of space for network cables and the lack of which probably contributed to the structure being totally refurbished in the mid 2000s.

That day was the beginning of the end of my engineering career as I found I didn’t much care for being patronized by mediocrities all too often encountered in the building industry in the mid 1990s.

At the time most of the architecture in London was pedestrian and bland late Twentieth Century mirror glass. The real tragedy being that modern construction techniques give architects and builders possibilities that Wren couldn’t have dreamed of.

Thankfully London snapped out of that era of mediocrity and today building like The Gherkin, The Shard and London City Hall show what’s possible with imagination and modern building techniques, although things can go wrong.

Mediocrities patronizing those who don’t share their narrow, bland look on life will always be with us, thankfully we don’t have to accept them in our lives.

If we want to build great things that push the boundaries or change the world, then those grey mediocrities have no role in our lives.

Where that consulting engineer and his masonic friends are today, I have no idea but it’s not likely they built any of the iconic buildings that now dot London’s skyline.

London’s quest to be the next Silicon Valley

How London is building its place among the global technology centres

In November 2010 British Prime Minister David Cameron set out his vision for London becoming the centre of Europe’s digital economy.

“We’re not just going to back the big businesses of today, we’re going to back the businesses of tomorrow.” Cameron said. “We are firmly on the side of the high-growth, highly innovative companies of the future.

Three years later London’s tech scene is booming with more than fifty incubators across the city and over three thousand digitally connected businesses in the Shoreditch district.

Building London’s resurgence

Gordon Innes, the CEO of the city’s economic development agency London and Partners, puts this down to a combination of factors including a young and diverse population coupled with being a global media and finance centre.

At the time of Cameron’s speech the cluster of tech startups around Shoreditch’s Silicon Roundabout area was already firmly established and the British government was acknowledging the industry’s successes.

“What we did, what the mayor did, what the government did,” Innes said, was to make sure that we removed as many barriers as possible to let the sector grow as rapidly as possible.”

The value of teamwork

Part of that effort involved business leaders, London & Partners, the mayor’s and Prime Minister’s advisers meeting on a regular basis to thrash out what the tech sector needed for the UK’s tech sector to thrive.

“There were changes to the tax credits for R&D and an important one was the Enterprise Incentive Scheme,” says Innes.

“Linked to that was a recognition of the need to link angels and high net worth individuals to be educated about the sector. It’s not just enough to balance the risk through the tax code.”

Another success for the UK startup sector was the British government introducing an entrepreneur’s visa that makes the country more attractive to foreign founders of startups.

Having built an community of tech startups, the city is now looking at how to grow the sector. “The big priority over the next few years is growing your business in London.” Innes says.

“Making sure you’ve not only have access to angel finance but also to stage one and stage two venture fund capital, you’ve got access to capital markets through new groups on the stock exchange and the AIM market.”

One of London’s big challenges is linking the city’s strong financial sector to the tech industry with a range of organisations like London Angels and City Meets Tech.

Sharing the vision

A notable point about the successes of London & Partners and Tech City UK is the co-operation between the levels of government along with having a shared vision of where the city should sit in the global economy.

Having a unified, strong and consistent vision is probably the best thing governments can offer a growing entrepreneurial or industry hub.

“Government can’t create that but government can certainly support it or, if it’s not careful, can destroy it,” says Innes.

London is showing how to support a growing sector of their business community, other cities need to be taking note how they can compete in a tough global market.

Finding the smart money

Can events like Sydney’s AngelEd and London’s City Meets Tech help those cities become global startup centres?

Around the world startup communities are working to connect with local investors, in Sydney and London two groups are showing how it is done.

“We’re looking at turning idle money into start money,” is the aim of Sydney AngelEd says one of its founders, Ian Gardner.

Fitting startup companies’ capital needs into the established criteria of investment managers is an ongoing problem that AngelEd’s founders want to resolve. “We see startups becoming an asset class,” says Gardiner.

AngelEd, to be held on November 7, aims to educate high wealth investors and asset managers on understand the risk, benefits and hype around angel investment, particularly in tech companies.

The global search for funds

Startups around the world are struggling to engage with investors – in London, the local tech community has set up City Meets Tech to introduce British investors to high growth companies.

London should have an advantage in this field given its leading role in the global finance industry, however the challenge for the tech community is to find financiers who are prepared to accept higher levels of risk than mainstream investments.

“The City is generally risk adverse and doesn’t understand tech and tech start-ups,” says the City Meets Tech website, “though really it’s about understanding the business and managing risk though unfortunately innovation requires at least some risk.”

Australia’s trillion dollar superannuation system should similarly give Sydney an opportunity that to become a global centre however it suffers from a similar, if not worse, conservative investment culture to London’s.

Turning Sydney into a global finance centre has been an objective successive state and Federal governments for twenty years but the sleepy, comfortable and risk averse culture of Australian fund managers offers little to attract foreign investors or companies.

Much of Australia’s is problem is the insular nature of local fund managers with all but a tiny part of the nation’s retirement savings being put into the top local stocks, listed property funds or domestic infrastructure projects that are notable for their lousy returns and extortionate management fees.

Breaking that mentality is going to be the key to both AngelEd and the Sydney’s success as a financial centre.’

Competing with the world

While London and Sydney are struggling with the challenges of encouraging investors into the high growth sectors, cities like Singapore and New York are developing investor communities that are attracting entrepreneurs to their cities.

Many governments dream of being the next Silicon Valley and while it isn’t likely anyone can recreate the circumstances that led to Northern California becoming the computer industry’s world centre , a vibrant and accessible capital market will be necessary for any place hoping to be a global cnetre.

For Sydney and London, the success of initiatives like AngelEd and City Meets Tech may be critical for both centres’ future in the global digital economy.

Building tech cities

What does London’s attempt to build a tech city teach others that want to create a Silicon Valley in their own town?

With the apparent success of the Silicon Valley business model, every city seems to want to emulate it. One region that’s probably gone further than most is supporting their local tech sector is London with its Tech City program.

But is it succeeding? The Guardian did an audit on the Tech City project and came away with some findings that aren’t particularly different from other cities.

What I personally find interesting is how the Digital Sydney project which I was involved in setting up during 2009-10 shares the flaws The Guardian has identified in the London initiative.

Identifying tech

One key criticism The Guardian has is that too many businesses are identified as being in the technology sector;

of the 1,340 companies, 137 are tech companies, 700 are PR or design agencies and 482 are “miscellaneous” – which includes charities, pubs, cafes and fashion boutiques. The remaining 21 companies were either entered more than once or entries with no information or link to an external site. So just 10% of companies in Tech City actually do technology, 53% are PR or design agencies, and 37% are “miscellaneous”.

This was true of identifying Sydney’s ‘digital hub’ – the vast majority of business surveyed were not actually tech businesses but movie post production, graphic designers and publishers. The technology sector was only a small group and the bulk of employment and investment came from large multinational corporations like IBM and Google.

Now it is possible to argue that businesses like post-production, publishing and broadcast media are ‘tech’, but then almost every industry could be thought of as ‘tech’ if you cast the net wide enough.

The problem is counting those businesses as being tech just on the basis they are heavy users of IT skews the numbers and gives an inflated view of how big the sector really is.

A capital city focus

One of the biggest criticisms of the Tech City initiative is that it is too London centric and The Guardian makes a good case about this, looking at cities like Brighton, Cambridge, Newcastle and Manchester.

A similar criticism could quite rightly be made about Sydney’s project, which focuses on the inner city enclaves of Surry Hills and Ultimo while ignoring most of the city or any of the state’s regional centres.

When I started at the New South Wales government I was warned by one old hand that “to these jokers NSW stands for North Sydney to Woolloomooloo.”

And so it proved to be.

Focusing on London’s Silicon Roundabout or Sydney’s Surry Hills also smacks of a ‘people like us’ syndrome where the support goes to nice middle class white folk – just like the politicians, public servants and captains of industry who run these programs.

Overemphasising tech

Another problem, not mentioned in The Guardian story, is the over emphasis on technology startups.

Projects like Tech City and Digital Sydney focus on last decade’s opportunities which Silicon Valley dominated. Governments look at California’s success and think we need to copy that when what we’re seeing is actually the fruits of the previous wave of opportunity.

It may well be that we’re repeating the mistakes of the 1950s and 60s where countries around the world imitated Detroit hoping to replicate the US’ success with the motor industry.

The costs of that error are still a millstone around taxpayers’ necks two generations later.

To be fair to those setting up projects like Tech City or Digital Sydney, they are attempts to harness the energy in their own cities but it may just be that government programs aren’t the best ways to bring entrepreneurs and inventors together.

Hopefully though their efforts will succeed although it’s more likely the next Silicon Valley will be just as much the result of a series of coincidences as today’s is.