Author: Paul Wallbank

  • Dealing with the digital investor

    Dealing with the digital investor

    Telstra’s Digital Investor report released earlier this week looked at the generational changes for the financial planning industry and the effects of technology on delivering advice and services.

    At the core of the report is the projection that by 2030, 70 per cent of Australia’s financial assets will be held by the digitally savvy Generations X and Y and the advice industry is doing little to cater for this group”s media and reading habits.

    This is barely surprising, financial planners are one of these fields subject to arcane rules and regulations which make practitioners extremely conservative about innovation or changing work habits, even when the new tools don’t breach any laws.

    One of the nagging questions though with the report is the underlying assumptions on wealth generation over the next twenty years. Will it really follow the same pattern as we’ve seen for the last few decades?

    As the Stanford Graduate School of Management notes in its dissection of the Forbes richest 400 Americans, the path to wealth is changing.

    “Three of the 10 wealthiest people in the United States – Bill Gates, Larry Ellison, and Michael Bloomberg – built their fortunes on information technology that barely existed in the 1980s,” says the author Joshua Rauth.

    It may well be that the financial planning industry’s core assumptions, of a large, stable middle class workforce steadily squirreling away a nest egg is going to be challenged in an economy undergoing massive change.

    Another generational aspect in the Digital Investor report is the handing down of family owned enterprises. The paper quotes social analyst Mark McCrindle saying “Succession planning is already a key issue (for SMEs) – yet by 2020 40% (145, 786) of today’s managers in family and small businesses will have reached retirement age. We are heading towards the biggest leadership succession ever.”

    As this blog has described before, many of the current generation of small business owners will never pass their operation on. Their barber shops, car dealerships and factories will retire or die with the proprietor as Gen X and Y entrepreneurs can’t afford to buy the business and the owner can’t afford to retire.

    The investment climate of the next quarter century will be very different from the last fifty years as will the business models and the paths to wealth. It’s something that shouldn’t be understated when considering how Generation X and Y will manage their finances.

    Despite the weaknesses, the Telstra Digital Investor report is an interesting insight into how one industry is failing to identify and act upon the fundamental changes that are happening in its marketplace.

    The financial planning industry isn’t the only sector challenged though and that makes the report good reading for any business trying to understand how marketplaces are changing.

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  • Disrupting the GPS network

    Disrupting the GPS network

    Another day, another technology security issues – this time The Economist reports the Global Positioning System can easily be hacked to alter the courses and positions of vehicles and equipment, something proved by University of Texas researchers taking control of a super yacht by setting up a false GPS signal.

    Given the importance of the GPS, this is a significant problem. There’s no end of mischief that malicious individuals could get up to by distorting the signals in their neighbourhoods.

    One idea that immediately came to mind on reading the story was how a cunning restaurant owner could make all the GPS units in the neighbourhood think they are sitting outside his business. Anybody using a smartphone app would think the nearest eating place was his, it would also fool systems like Local Measure that use geotagging as part of their service.

    The risks though are greater than sneaky restaurant owners, the University of Texas researchers showed how a 65m, $80 million dollar ship can be tricked into sailing off course by ‘spoofing’ the real GPS signal.

    With everything from emergency services’ tracking systems to smartphone and dog collars relying on GPS, the risks are huge.

    It’s another reason why we need robust systems along with the critical thinking skills to know when the computer is wrong.

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  • What business can learn from the lost Island of Jura

    What business can learn from the lost Island of Jura

    What would you do if your entire suburb, town or district vanished off the map? That’s the problem the villagers on the Scottish isle of Jura have had to face after Google wiped them off the map

    The good humour of the locals about their predicament shines through the story, although the British and Scottish governments are less than impressed.

    Particularly noteworthy is how the island’s distillery dealt with vanishing off the map – Jura’s whisky is quite distinctive for those who’ve tried it – came up with a great idea for a Twitter campaign to promote their brand.

    Kira’s residents show just how important initiative and resilience is for business people, it’s a lesson we should all keep in mind the next time you hear an executive or interest group whingeing that the government needs to do something.

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  • Gen Y and the need for building new businesses

    Gen Y and the need for building new businesses

    The retirement of the baby boomers has been an demographic inevitability, but it’s interesting how policy makers and the population in general have ignored the ramifications of this despite the first boomers now aged beyond 65.

    One of the consequences of this is we may see an entire generation being forced to become self employed entrepreneurs.

    Illustrating this point are two stories from the US over the last few days; John Mauldin’s dissection of where US jobs are going and Zero Hedge’s 35 facts that should scare American baby boomers.

    The 35 facts really boil down to one thing, that an affluent, middle class retirement at 65 when average life expectancy is 78 is an illusion for most people – neither their bank accounts or the state treasury can support that sort of spending.

    Which is the point of John Mauldin’s column, that over 50s are taking most of the available US jobs as they can’t afford to retire.

    For those over 50 who’ve fallen out of the workforce due to unemployment or illness, getting back into the workforce is proving to be tough and for many of those folk their later years are going to be a struggle.

    Equally, as Mauldin points out, the younger generation is being locked out of the jobs being hogged by the over 50s.

    Another aspect to that is those employed Gen-X’s and Y’s hoping to get a crack at a seniors manager’s job or their name on the partner’s list are going to find a longer wait as the boomers hold on for as long as they can.

    Those young ‘uns need those high salary jobs too, a Westpac report on US student debt posits that crippling education costs are making it harder for graduates to participate in the workforce and affects their spending power when they do find a job.

    What’s clear is existing government, corporate and social structures are beginning to struggle with the realities of the changing workforce and its demographic composition.

    On a personal level, those Gen Xs, Ys and boomers who are locked out of the workforce have to find a new way to participate in the economy. It’s probably those locked out of today’s workplaces who will build the businesses of the future.

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  • Security by obscurity’s false promise

    Security by obscurity’s false promise

    Yesterday’s post looked at how security needs to be a fundamental part of connected systems like cars and home automation, an article in The Guardian shows how auto manufacturers are struggling with the challenge of making their products secure.

    In the UK, Volkswagen has obtained an injunction restraining a University of Birmingham researcher from divulging security weaknesses in Porsche, Bentley, Lamborghini and Audi cars.

    A mark of desperation is when a company has to go to court to suppress the details of a software security breach, it almost guarantees the bad guys will have the virtual keys while the general public remain ignorant.

    Over time it backfires on the company as customers realise their products aren’t secure or safe.

    The real problem for Volkswagen is a poor implementation of their security systems. It was inevitable that a master code would leak out of repair shops and dealerships.

    While the law is useful tool, it isn’t the best way to fix software security problems.

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