Author: Paul Wallbank

  • Michael Dell’s struggle to transform his business

    Michael Dell’s struggle to transform his business

    Michael Dell continues to press on with his buy out bid for the computer manufacturing giant he created with a presentation to shareholders stating his case why Dell Computers would have a better future as a private company.

    Dell’s assertion is the company has to move from being a PC manufacturer to a Enterprise Solutions and Services business (ESS) as computer manufacturing margins collapse in the face of a changing market and more nimble, low cost, competitors.

    What’s telling in Dell’s presentation is just how fast these changes have happened, here’s some key bullet points from the slide deck.

    • Dell’s transformation from a PC-focused business to an Enterprise Solutions and Services (ESS) -focused business is critical to its future success, especially as the PC market is changing faster than anticipated.
    • The transition to the “New Dell” is highly dependent on challenged “Core Dell”performance.
    • The speed of transformation is critical, yet “Core Dell” operating income is declining faster than the growth of “New Dell” operating income.
    • Dell’s rate of transformation is being outpaced by the rapid market shift to cloud.

    The market is shifting quickly against Dell’s core PC manufacturing and sales business and the company’s founder is under no illusions just how serious the problem is.

    Should Michael Dell succeed, the challenge in transforming his business is going to be immense – Dell Computing was one of the 1990s businesses that reinvented both the PC industry and the vast, precise logistics chain that supports it.

    It was PC companies like Dell and Gateway who showed the dot com industry how to deliver goods quickly and profitably to customers around the world. Businesses like Amazon built their models upon the sophisticated logistics systems and relationships the computer manufacturers created.

    A lesson though for all of those companies that followed Dell and Gateway is that those supply chains may turn around and bite you in the future, as Michael says in his presentation;

    Within the PC market, Dell faces increasingly aggressive competition from low cost competitors around the world and shifts in product demand to segments where Dell has historically been weaker.

    Those low cost competitors were many of Dell’s suppliers as over time the company’s Chinese manufacturers, Filipino call centres and Malaysian assemblers have developed the management skills to compete with the US retailers rather than just be their contractors.

    Something that’s being missed in the debate about globalisation at present is that its not just low value work that can be done offshore – increasingly sales, marketing and legal are moving offshore along with programmers and engineers. Now the same thing is happening with management.

    The same thing is also happening with corporations as Asian giants like Samsung, Huawei, Wipro and others displace US and European incumbents.

    Dell Computing has been a much a victim of that move as it has been of the decline in the PC market which means its more than one battle Michael Dell has to fight.

    It may well be that Dell can survive, but we shouldn’t underestimate just how great the challenge is as the company faces major changes to its markets and the global economy.

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  • Telling the broadband story – the government makes its case

    Telling the broadband story – the government makes its case

    Further to yesterday’s post about NBNCo’s inability to tell a story, I received a polite message from the long suffering staff at the Minister’s office that pointed me to some of the resources that NBNCo and the Department of  Broadband, Communications and Digital economy have posted.

    Here’s the list of case studies and videos;

    http://www.nbn.gov.au/nbn-advertising/nbn-case-studies/

    http://www.nbnco.com.au/nbn-for-business/case-studies.html

    http://www.nbn.gov.au/case-study/noella-babui-business/

    http://www.nbn.gov.au/case-study/seren-trump-small-home-based-business-owner/

    All of these case studies are nice, but they illustrate the problem – they’re nice, standard government issue media releases. The original CNet story that triggered yesterday’s story tells real stories that are more than just sanitised government PR.

    It also begs the question of where the hell are all these people successfully using the NBN when I ask around about them?

    What’s even more frustrating is the Sydney Morning Herald seems to get spoon fed these type of stories.

    The really irritating thing with stories like yesterday’s SMH piece is that it’s intended to promote the Digital Rural Futures Conference on the future of farming being held by the University of New England.

    Now this is something I’d would have gone to had I known about it and I’d have paid my own fares and accommodation. Yet the first I know about this conference is an article on a Saturday four days out from the event. That’s not what you’d call good PR.

    The poor public relations strategies of the Digital Rural Futures Conference is a symptom of the National Broadband’s Network’s proponents’ inability to get their message out the wider public.

    When we look back at the debacle that was the debate about Australia’s role in the 21st Century, it’s hard not to think the failure to articulate the importance of modernising the nation’s communications systems will be one of the key studies in how we blew it.

    Despite the best efforts of a few switched on people in Senator Conroy’s office, a lot more effort is needed to make the case for a national broadband and national investment in today’s technologies which are going to define the future.

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  • How tech savvy are our corporate CEOs?

    How tech savvy are our corporate CEOs?

    Yesterday I asked are executives out of touch with IT industry trends.

    To figure out the answer to that question, I had a look at the backgrounds of the ASX20‘s CEOs. It’s difficult to draw a conclusion from the results.

    ASX 20  CEO backgrounds
    Company CEO Industry background Degree
    AMP Craig Dunn Financial services BComm
    ANZ Bank Michael Smith Financial services Economist
    BHP Billiton Andrew MacKenzie Mining Phd in Chemistry
    Brambles Tom Gorman Finance Economist
    Commonwealth Bank Ian Narev Consulting Law Degree
    CSL Brian McNamee Medicine surgeon
    Macquarie Group Ltd Nicholas Moore Investment banking lawyer
    National Australia Bank Ltd Cameron Clyne investment banking arts/economics
    Newcrest Mining Ltd Greg Robinson finance BSci Geology
    Origin Energy Grant A. King Energy industry Civil Engineer
    QBE Insurance Group Ltd John Neal finance
    Rio Tinto Ltd Sam Walsh mining BComm
    Santos Ltd David Knox Oil and Gas BEng (mech)
    Suncorp Group Ltd Patrick Snowball Finance industry Law, LLD
    Telstra Corp Ltd David Thodey IT/Telecoms BA (anthropology)
    Wesfarmers Ltd Richard Goyder Diversified industrial BComm
    Westfield Group Peter & Stephen Lowy Investment banking BComm
    Westpac Banking Corp Gail Kelly Financial services BA
    Woodside Petroleum Ltd Peter J Coleman? Oil and Gas BEng
    Woolworths Ltd Grant O’Brien Retail Accountant

    What stands out from the list is the dominance of executives from a financial services and commerce background, although that’s hardly surprising given the weight of the banking sector in the Australian stock market.

    An encouraging trend in the mining sector, the other sector highly represented in the index, is how the industry’s CEOs tend to be from a scientific or Engineering background.

    Coming from a science background would tend to indicate the CEOs are probably more across technology trends than we’d think, although the compositions of the boards would probably tell us a little more about the net saviness of the corprorate sector.

    That might be an exercise for the weekend.

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  • NBNCo’s storytelling failure

    NBNCo’s storytelling failure

    One of the baffling things in reporting the Australian tech and business scene is how the National Broadband Network project manages to get such bad press.

    Part of the answer is in this story about Google Fiber sparking a startup scene in Kansas City.

    Marguerite Reardon’s story for CNet is terrific – it covers the tech and looks at the human angles with some great anecdotes about some of the individuals using Google Fiber to build Kansas City’s startup community.

    This is the story that should have been written in Australia about the National Broadband Network.

    I’ve tried.

    Failing to tell the story

    Earlier this year I travelled to Tasmania to speak to the businesses using the NBN and came back empty handed.

    In Melbourne, I finally made it to the Hungry Birds Cafe – vaunted by the government as the first cafe connected to the NBN – to find they do a delicious bacon roll and offer fast WiFi to customers but the owners don’t have a website and do nothing on the net that they couldn’t do with a 56k modem.

    I’ve found the same thing when I’ve tried to find businesses connected to the NBN – nil, nothing, nada, nyet. The closest story you’ll find to Cnet’s article are a handful of lame-arsed stories like this Seven Sunrise segment which talks about families sending videos to each other, something which strengthens the critic’s arguments that high speed broadband is just a toy.

    Businesses need not apply

    This failure to articulate the real business benefits of high speed broadband after four years of rolling out the project is a symptom of a project that has gone off the rails.

    It’s not surprising that businesses aren’t connecting to the new network as NBNCo and its resellers have continued the grand Australian tradition of ripping off small businesses. Fellow tech blogger Renai LeMay has quite rightly lambasted the overpriced business fibre broadband plans.

    Even when small business want to connect, they find it’s difficult to do. The Public House blog describes how a country pub was told the cost of a business NBN account be so high, the sales consultant would be embarrassed to reveal the price.

    “The cost for exactly the same connection (and exactly the same useage) is so much higher for a business that you wouldn’t be interested.”

    The whole point of the National Broadband Network is to modernise Australia’s telecommunications infrastructure and give regional areas the same opportunities as well connected inner city suburbs.

    Failing objectives

    If businesses can’t connect, or find it too expensive, then the project is failing those objectives. So it’s no surprise that NBNCo’s communications team can’t tell a story like Kansas City’s because there are no stories to tell.

    Apologists for the poor performance of NBNCo say it’s a huge project and we’re only in the early stages. In fact we’re now four years into a ten year project and we still aren’t hearing stories like those from Kansas City.

    Telling the story should be the easy part for those charged with building the National Broadband Network, that they fail in this should mean it’s no surprise they are struggling with the really hard work of building the thing.

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  • Are executives out of touch with IT trends?

    Are executives out of touch with IT trends?

    Yesterday was media briefing day with a number of vendor events, including a very nice lunch with IBM, on the state of the technology industry.

    One thing that was particularly striking with IBM Truth Behind The Trends survey was just how out of touch many of the executives quoted in the report seem to be with responses on topics like malware and Bring Your Own Device being firmly behind the curve.

    This was borne out at the earlier media roundtable with online security company Websense where they described some of the challenges facing Chief Information Officers in making company boards and senior managers aware of technology security risks.

    What surprised most of the journalists in the earlier briefing was just how clueless many of the executives seem to be about online business risks, those who went along to the following IBM briefing realised why – managers genuinely don’t understand how the internet and business technology is evolving.

    That should worry investors as markets are changing rapidly and managers who don’t recognise, let alone understand, the shifts happening are jeopardizing the their business’ futures.

    Why exactly business leaders are so out of touch is something we look at tomorrow where we examine the background of Australia’s CEOs.

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