Home delivery services fail to pass the Uber test

It appears the attempt to corner the home delivery market has failed

One of the group of businesses most affected by the downturn in Silicon Valley investments are the home delivery services.

For the last three years services such as Instacart and Doordash have attracted billions of investor dollars on the promise of become the “Ubers of home delivery.”

Like all Silicon Valley VC plays, the investors in these delivery services were prepared to throw vast amounts of cash at the businesses in the hope they could achieve a monopoly position.

“All these companies are massively subsidized to support growth and restrain growth of competitors.” Quartz magazine quotes Tim Young of San Francisco’s Eniac Ventures, “there’s a point at which the music stops, and investors are no longer willing to see their money go to those subsidies.”

That point seems to have been reached as it becomes apparent none of these businesses will dominate the industry which appears not to be so big after all.

History shows what happens when the money runs out as not being pretty. Already with cash problems looming, the companies are looking at ways to slow their cash burn through reducing contractor rates and slashing overheads.

Instacart is unlikely to survive and if the company does it will be as far smaller business than its investors hoped. Those are the risks when staking money in a tech mania.

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Chinese companies fall out of love with America

Chinese companies withdrawing from US stock markets is bad for both countries

The emergence of Chinese companies and their listing on US stock exchanges has been one of the features of the country’s rise over the last decade.

Now Reuters reports the tide may be turning as disaffected Chinese companies shift back to local stock market listings to counter what they believe are under valuations from US investors.

Two of the notable things about the Chinese stock markets have been the lack of transparency and their volatility.

It may be the current attractive valuations are part of that volatility with the Shanghai Composite stock index having more than doubled this year as opposed to the S&P 500 being up a comparatively disappointing five percent.

For Chinese companies, the relative transparency and discipline of US market listing rules also promised to raise their internal management standards.

The US markets also gained from the Chinese listings as these cemented the nation’s position as the world’s tech centre, with the attraction of American markets fading an opportunity opens for European and Asian exchanges.

Overall, the withdrawal of Chinese companies from US stock exchanges would be a shame for both countries as it makes each of them stronger.

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Refining the pitch

LinkedIn founder Reid Hoffman has some great advice for businesses

LinkedIn founder Reid Hoffman has a great post on his website dissecting his original investor pitch in the light of what he’s learned in the subsequent decade.

The post is full of excellent advice from a business leader; the importance of finance versus product strategy, the risks of confirmation bias and finding what makes your business stand out from a crowded market are just three good points.

Hoffman also flags how pitching a business to sceptical investors helps entrepreneurs figure out what the real risks are in their business.

Another important point is that investment come into and go out of fashion, with 2003’s investment climate being very different to today’s.

In 2013, it’s whether you can break through the noise. Today, there are probably a thousand consumer internet startups founded every quarter — how do you become one of the 1 to 3 that matter in a 7-year timeframe? Those are the kinds of objections you need to steer into at the beginning of your pitch.

Ultimately though, Hoffman emphasizes how a business needs to be defensible, saying of LinkedIn: “It’s a network effects business, which means it has inherent defensibility with a network.”

Even for businesses that aren’t tech or web startups, Hoffman’s post is a great guide to developing a business plan and promoting a venture to investors and customers.

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Refocusing on Asia

Australian business are looking again at Asian markets.

One of the interesting things about Australian society and business in the last twenty years is how the nation seems to have turned away from Asia.

In the 1980s and early 90s, the country was focused on exporting services and building long term relationships in sectors ranging from Malaysian construction, Thai diary farming and legal services in China.

Twenty years later, Australian businesses and government seem to have given up with the consensus among industry and political leaders now being that all the nation can export is raw minerals, bulk agricultural goods with a sprinkling of third rate educational services.

Globally focused Australian businesses – particularly those in the startup sector – look to Silicon Valley for funding, inspiration and markets. Only a minority are looking North to Asia rather than across the Pacific.

ViDM – Ventures in Digital Media – is one of those businesses and CEO Willie Pang of the Sydney based advertising technology startup believes the time is to seize opportunities in growing Asian markets rather than concentrating on Silicon Valley financing and exits.

“Focus on building a great business. If you have a great business someone will buy you,” says Willie.

The opportunity ViDM sees is in advertising trading platforms bringing together publishers and advertisers across the digital, print and broadcasting channels. Willie expects this market to be worth eight billion dollars across Asia within five years.

Many of those opportunities in the Asian market are in business-to-business markets such as advertising platforms which is another difference to the largely consumer focused Silicon Valley model.

For Australian business, Willie doesn’t see funding as being an issue with money being available for smaller startups and mature companies.

Like in Silicon Valley the real problem lies for business in the middle stages of their development where they are too big for angels and smaller funds but not interesting for the bigger investors. That grey zone lies between two and ten million dollars.

For the companies that do raise the funds and go hunting in Asian markets, the rewards can be great. Not only do this economies have great growth rates, the diversities of Asian countries mean there are different opportunities lying in each nation or even provinces.

Right now, US businesses are focussed domestically or just on a narrow range of opportunities catering to affluent Chinese consumers in Beijing, Shanghai and Guangzhou.

Willie sees that as another opportunity, while US and European companies are distracted it’s a good time to be entering the Asian markets. But that window of opportunity won’t last forever.

“We’ll either play in that space or the Americans will do it” says Willie.

The opportunity is open to us. Will we grab it?

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