Twenty years of text messages

A BBC interview with the inventor of the SMS service illustrates how fast technology changes.

When the mobile phone arrived we thought that text, particularly those clumsy pagers people used, would be dead.

Little did we know that an overlooked part of the newer digital cellphone technology would see short messaging become a key part of the phone system and a major income generator for telephone companies.

Short Messaging Services – or SMS – was an add on to the digital Global System for Mobile communications (GSM) standard which became the second generation (2G) of mobile phones.

While intended as a control feature on the phone networks, SMS took off as a popular medium in the mid 1990s and soon became a major profit centre for mobile carriers.

The Twentieth anniversary of the first SMS being sent passed last week and the BBC has a great interview, conducted by text message, with Matti Makkonen who came up with idea.

One of the notable things in the interview is Matti’s humility – he doesn’t like being called the inventor or founder of text messaging as he explains,

I did not consider SMS as personal achievement but as result of joint effort to collect ideas and write the specifications of the services based on them.

We can only imagine what would happen if the idea of SMS messaging was invented today, there’d be an unseemly struggle over patents while hot young Silicon Valley entrepreneurs would pitch venture capital firms with plans for niche services that will make a billion dollars when sold to Yahoo! or HP.

As it was, SMS services were insanely profitable for the telcos. In the early days, text messages were being charged at over a dollar each – for a service that cost the carrier almost nothing.

Over time those handsome profits have been eroded as SMS became bundled into all-you-can-eat packages and then the internet introduced new mediums to send short messages.

While SMS isn’t going away while mobile phones are an important part of our business and personal lives; the service isn’t going to be as critical, or as profitable as it was over the last twenty years.

Short Messaging Services are a great example of how individual technologies rise, evolve and fade with time. They are also a good lesson on how quickly a premium, highly profitable service can become commodified.

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Signing off voicemail

Voicemail’s decline is a symptom of the telecommunication industry’s shrivelling profits.

A survey by US phone company Vonage reports cellphone users are ditching voicemail and moving to alternatives.

Messages left on user accounts in July fell 8% while retrievals fell 14% compared to last year.

While those figures may have something to do with the billing practices of US carriers, it shows a much bigger trend in the telecommunications sector away from products which have been very profitable over the last two decades.

Voicemail, like SMS text messaging, has been a lucrative earner for telcos since the arrival of mobile phones.

Users get billed for calling a number then for leaving a message – often with a few delaying menu items to make sure callers get hit with a couple of billing units. In turn the receiver is charged for being notified they have a message, billed again for retrieving it and then pays a monthly fee for the privilege for all of this.

Five bites of the cherry for one phone call – nice work if you can get it.

This entire revenue stream is now dwindling as customers start using Internet based services to send messages. While the telcos charge extortionate rates for mobile data it is still far cheaper per message than the alternatives.

In many ways the profits from voicemail and SMS were a classic transition effect – a profitable window of opportunity opened for a short period when a new technology was introduced. Now those windows are closing.

For telcos, they have to find some profitable new channels. Even if they achieve their dreams of becoming media distributors or even content creators they’ll find both of those fields are far less lucrative than the mobile phone networks of a decade ago.

While telephone companies aren’t going to grow broke soon, today’s data networks aren’t the golden goose many people expect from telcos.

The smart telcos will adapt and survive, the ones who think the good times of a decade ago are coming back soon are in for a miserable future.

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